Kirzner Fervor

An examination of financial markets from the perspective of the market process school

Tuesday, March 31, 2009

The Difficulty of Backtesting

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One of the benefits of momentum based systems is that you don't have to deal with the vagaries of fundamental data. Leaving aside revisi...
2 comments:
Saturday, March 21, 2009

My Solution to the AIG problem

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TPM put up a timeline of the collapse of AIGFP. Most of the information is gleaned from the WaPo series from last year. One thing that is i...
2 comments:
Wednesday, March 18, 2009

Is the BoE reading the Money Illusion

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I was reading the March BoE minutes when I came across the following statement: "There was a high degree of uncertainty over the appro...
Tuesday, March 17, 2009

Condor Options

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I thought this post at Condor Options was very good. I think one thing that makes testing these types of option strategies difficult is tha...
1 comment:
Thursday, March 12, 2009

50 shapers of Finance

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The FT has released 50 shapers of finance , and not surprisingly KF is not among them. I count 31 of 50 (not counting Lou Jiwei, so it could...
1 comment:
Wednesday, March 11, 2009

Greenspan is wrong

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I don't think he's completely wrong here , but he's certainly wrong on the impact of low short-term rates impacting long-term ra...
Sunday, February 8, 2009

Component TAA Update

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Given its a start of a new year, I figured I would update my Component TAA model (for more see: here , here , and here ) results to give an ...
1 comment:
Wednesday, February 4, 2009

Kaizen ECB quotes

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In a speech titled, "(Under-)pricing of risks in the financial sector" by Jean-Claude Trichet "The periods of crisis bring to...
Friday, December 19, 2008

Buy and Hold (Part 2.5)

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This post will eventually get merged into a Part 3. I've had some programming difficulties with the final part of the project and I'...
Sunday, December 14, 2008

Re: Hulbert

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Mark Hulbert wrote an interesting piece in Barron's about a week ago. He notes that the 39 week moving average on the DJIA underperform...
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