In a speech titled, "(Under-)pricing of risks in the financial sector" by Jean-Claude Trichet
"The periods of crisis bring to light the major shortcomings of the
underlying mathematical [risk] models. In those periods the behaviour of
amrkets and prices does not appear to follow any probabilistic model ex
ante but rather reflects a more fundamental Knightian uncertainty in which
even probabilities are unknown."
Wednesday, February 4, 2009
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